A Study on the Relationship between Population Aging and Economic Development in Sichuan Province Based on Grey MGM (1,m) Model

Abstract

Based on the data of GDP per capita and the proportion of the aged population in Sichuan Province from 1994 to 2010, a multivariable grey MGM(1,2) model is established. The fitting degree of the model is as high as 93%, so the model is reliable. The relationship between population aging and economic development in Sichuan has been obtained: population aging has a greater positive impact on itself, a greater inhibitory effect on economic development, and economic development has a strong positive impact on itself, and has a weak side effect on population aging. Population aging and economic development are interrelated and complement each other. Some countermeasures and suggestions are put forward for the problem of population aging.