Cause Analysis and Meteorological Prediction on Abnormal Fluctuation of Power Load in Midsummer in Hubei Province

Abstract

Formation causes and the characteristics of time distribution about abnormal fluctuation of power load have been analyzed by using every 15-minute interval power-loading data in Hubei and the meteorological data in Wuhan city from 2013 to 2016. It is found that the main time-frame about abnormal fluctuation of power load appears in the summer (July and August) in Hubei and a "peak load meteorological forecast model" has been made. This result demonstrates that the model can predict load abnormal fluctuation during the summer well in Hubei Province and provide useful reference for meteorological department to implement power meteorological service and the electricity sector to forecast power load.