The Analysis of Impact Factors of Upgrading the Manufacturing Structure on Yangtze River Delta under the Background of Low Carbon
Abstract
To find out the core factor of promoting the updating of industrial structure, we analyze the dynamic association among the industrial structure, energy, and science-technology. We also discuss the dynamic changing process of upgrading the industrial structure of manufacturing in the model of low- carbon by taking the development of Yangtze River Delta for example. We use Yule-Walker, OLS and MLE, and the statistic properties of estimator to make the VAR model. The results show: for the industrial structure, its own contribution is the biggest, and gradually less, while the contribution of science and technology investment is increasing, and is higher than the contribution of energy. For science and technology, its largest contribution is its own, the contribution of the industrial structure and energy is less, and the contribution of the three remained stable. For the contribution of energy, science and technology and its own contribution is the smart the beginning, but the late, the contribution of science and technology investment is increasing, while energy contribution is decreasing, the contribution of the industrial structure to remain relatively stable. The government policy should increase the investment on scientific and technological.
Keywords
Manufacturing structure upgrading, VAR, Low carbon, Technology investment
DOI
10.12783/dteees/seee2016/6566
10.12783/dteees/seee2016/6566
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