Modelling Complex Projects and Their Manager’s Behavior with Cybernetic and Nonlinear Dynamic Systems Theory (NDS)

Abstract

An approach to deal with the dynamic complexity in project is decisive for its timely and within the budget successful termination. Yet it remains underestimated and under-investigated issue. The nondeterministic nature of project stati, with their prediction limited to probability is in major part due to the human factor. The panacea for high frequency agile reaction to project occurrences is seen in cybernetic approach on three levels of feedback loops. The human decision process, modelled in this paper, is defined as the III Order Cybernetics. An outline of the dynamic system modelling of leader behavior in the process of decision making with reference to algorithmic modelling, aims in better identification of the key success factors in cybernetic approach to project management.